Game Context
Game speed: Normal
What Changed Today
Change tracking begins after two days of data.
Key Injuries
-
OUT
Devin Vassell
San Antonio Spurs
-
OUT
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs
Schedule and Fatigue
Normal rest for both teams.
All Players by Team
Sorted by expected minutes. Avg → Est shows the 10-game average and next-game estimate.Away
San Antonio Spurs
De'Aaron Fox
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 30-35
Minutes risk: Medium
Major change flagged: Points +3.1 | Points increase without Victor Wembanyama
Points
17.6 → 20.7
Assists
5.1 → 5.2
Rebounds
3.4 → 3.7
Threes
2.0 → 2.4
Pts+Reb+Ast
26.1 → 29.6
Stl+Blk
1.7 → 1.7
Steals
1.4 → 1.4
Blocks
0.3 → 0.3
De'Aaron Fox
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 30-35
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
17.6 → 20.7
Assists
5.1 → 5.2
Rebounds
3.4 → 3.7
Threes
2.0 → 2.4
Pts+Reb+Ast
26.1 → 29.6
Stl+Blk
1.7 → 1.7
Steals
1.4 → 1.4
Blocks
0.3 → 0.3
- - Points increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Threes Made increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Points + Rebounds + Assists increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Devin Vassell
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 29-32
Minutes risk: High
OUT
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -20.4 | Availability risk
Points
13.1 → 0.0
Assists
2.4 → 0.0
Rebounds
4.9 → 0.0
Threes
2.3 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
20.4 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.4 → 0.0
Steals
0.8 → 0.0
Blocks
0.6 → 0.0
Devin Vassell
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 29-32
Minutes risk: High
OUTPoints
13.1 → 0.0
Assists
2.4 → 0.0
Rebounds
4.9 → 0.0
Threes
2.3 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
20.4 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.4 → 0.0
Steals
0.8 → 0.0
Blocks
0.6 → 0.0
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Stephon Castle
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 28-32
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
18.7 → 20.9
Assists
6.5 → 6.5
Rebounds
3.7 → 4.7
Threes
1.3 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
28.9 → 32.3
Stl+Blk
1.0 → 1.0
Steals
0.8 → 0.8
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
Stephon Castle
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 28-32
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
18.7 → 20.9
Assists
6.5 → 6.5
Rebounds
3.7 → 4.7
Threes
1.3 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
28.9 → 32.3
Stl+Blk
1.0 → 1.0
Steals
0.8 → 0.8
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
- - Points increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists estimate higher because he handles the ball often.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Threes Made increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Points + Rebounds + Assists increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Harrison Barnes
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 24-28
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
9.3 → 11.6
Assists
2.0 → 2.0
Rebounds
3.2 → 3.5
Threes
1.4 → 1.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
14.5 → 17.3
Stl+Blk
0.6 → 0.6
Steals
0.6 → 0.6
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Harrison Barnes
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 24-28
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
9.3 → 11.6
Assists
2.0 → 2.0
Rebounds
3.2 → 3.5
Threes
1.4 → 1.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
14.5 → 17.3
Stl+Blk
0.6 → 0.6
Steals
0.6 → 0.6
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Threes Made increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Points + Rebounds + Assists increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Victor Wembanyama
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 22-28
Minutes risk: High
OUT
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -34.6 | Availability risk
Points
21.9 → 0.0
Assists
2.6 → 0.0
Rebounds
10.1 → 0.0
Threes
1.2 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
34.6 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
2.4 → 0.0
Steals
0.4 → 0.0
Blocks
2.0 → 0.0
Victor Wembanyama
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 22-28
Minutes risk: High
OUTPoints
21.9 → 0.0
Assists
2.6 → 0.0
Rebounds
10.1 → 0.0
Threes
1.2 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
34.6 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
2.4 → 0.0
Steals
0.4 → 0.0
Blocks
2.0 → 0.0
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate supported by rebounding role.
- - Availability risk
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Julian Champagnie
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 22-28
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
9.1 → 9.1
Assists
1.1 → 1.1
Rebounds
6.1 → 6.1
Threes
2.2 → 2.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
16.3 → 16.4
Stl+Blk
1.2 → 1.2
Steals
0.7 → 0.7
Blocks
0.5 → 0.5
Julian Champagnie
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 22-28
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
9.1 → 9.1
Assists
1.1 → 1.1
Rebounds
6.1 → 6.1
Threes
2.2 → 2.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
16.3 → 16.4
Stl+Blk
1.2 → 1.2
Steals
0.7 → 0.7
Blocks
0.5 → 0.5
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Luke Kornet
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 21-26
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
8.8 → 8.5
Assists
1.6 → 1.5
Rebounds
7.7 → 7.5
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
18.1 → 17.5
Stl+Blk
1.6 → 1.5
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
1.1 → 1.1
Luke Kornet
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 21-26
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
8.8 → 8.5
Assists
1.6 → 1.5
Rebounds
7.7 → 7.5
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
18.1 → 17.5
Stl+Blk
1.6 → 1.5
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
1.1 → 1.1
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate supported by rebounding role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Keldon Johnson
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 19-24
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
14.2 → 14.4
Assists
0.5 → 0.5
Rebounds
6.3 → 6.4
Threes
1.9 → 1.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
21.0 → 21.4
Stl+Blk
0.4 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Keldon Johnson
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 19-24
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
14.2 → 14.4
Assists
0.5 → 0.5
Rebounds
6.3 → 6.4
Threes
1.9 → 1.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
21.0 → 21.4
Stl+Blk
0.4 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate supported by rebounding role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Dylan Harper
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 18-22
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
8.8 → 10.8
Assists
3.9 → 4.0
Rebounds
3.6 → 3.5
Threes
0.5 → 0.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
16.3 → 17.9
Stl+Blk
1.3 → 1.3
Steals
1.2 → 1.2
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
Dylan Harper
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 18-22
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
8.8 → 10.8
Assists
3.9 → 4.0
Rebounds
3.6 → 3.5
Threes
0.5 → 0.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
16.3 → 17.9
Stl+Blk
1.3 → 1.3
Steals
1.2 → 1.2
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
- - Points increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Points + Rebounds + Assists increase without Victor Wembanyama
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Jeremy Sochan
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 8-14
Minutes risk: High
Points
0.0 → 0.0
Assists
0.5 → 0.4
Rebounds
1.0 → 0.8
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
1.5 → 1.2
Stl+Blk
0.6 → 0.5
Steals
0.3 → 0.2
Blocks
0.3 → 0.2
Jeremy Sochan
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 8-14
Minutes risk: High
Points
0.0 → 0.0
Assists
0.5 → 0.4
Rebounds
1.0 → 0.8
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
1.5 → 1.2
Stl+Blk
0.6 → 0.5
Steals
0.3 → 0.2
Blocks
0.3 → 0.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Kelly Olynyk
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 4-10
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
2.0 → 1.8
Assists
1.3 → 1.2
Rebounds
1.3 → 1.2
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
4.6 → 4.1
Stl+Blk
0.3 → 0.3
Steals
0.3 → 0.3
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Kelly Olynyk
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 4-10
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
2.0 → 1.8
Assists
1.3 → 1.2
Rebounds
1.3 → 1.2
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
4.6 → 4.1
Stl+Blk
0.3 → 0.3
Steals
0.3 → 0.3
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Carter Bryant
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 5-10
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.6 → 1.5
Assists
0.4 → 0.4
Rebounds
1.4 → 1.3
Threes
0.3 → 0.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
3.4 → 3.1
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Carter Bryant
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 5-10
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.6 → 1.5
Assists
0.4 → 0.4
Rebounds
1.4 → 1.3
Threes
0.3 → 0.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
3.4 → 3.1
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Lindy Waters III
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 3-8
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.8 → 1.8
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
0.3 → 0.3
Threes
0.5 → 0.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
2.1 → 2.1
Stl+Blk
0.3 → 0.3
Steals
0.3 → 0.3
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Lindy Waters III
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 3-8
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.8 → 1.8
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
0.3 → 0.3
Threes
0.5 → 0.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
2.1 → 2.1
Stl+Blk
0.3 → 0.3
Steals
0.3 → 0.3
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Bismack Biyombo
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 3-8
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.0 → 0.8
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
0.5 → 0.4
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
1.5 → 1.3
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Bismack Biyombo
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 3-8
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.0 → 0.8
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
0.5 → 0.4
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
1.5 → 1.3
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Jordan McLaughlin
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 2-8
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.7 → 1.4
Assists
0.3 → 0.2
Rebounds
0.7 → 0.6
Threes
0.2 → 0.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
2.7 → 2.2
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Jordan McLaughlin
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 2-8
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.7 → 1.4
Assists
0.3 → 0.2
Rebounds
0.7 → 0.6
Threes
0.2 → 0.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
2.7 → 2.2
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Home
Indiana Pacers
Bennedict Mathurin
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 30-35
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
14.6 → 14.4
Assists
1.9 → 1.9
Rebounds
5.4 → 5.3
Threes
1.6 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
21.9 → 21.6
Stl+Blk
0.8 → 0.8
Steals
0.6 → 0.6
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
Bennedict Mathurin
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 30-35
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
14.6 → 14.4
Assists
1.9 → 1.9
Rebounds
5.4 → 5.3
Threes
1.6 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
21.9 → 21.6
Stl+Blk
0.8 → 0.8
Steals
0.6 → 0.6
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Pascal Siakam
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 31-34
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
21.2 → 20.7
Assists
2.9 → 2.8
Rebounds
5.6 → 5.5
Threes
1.8 → 1.8
Pts+Reb+Ast
29.7 → 29.0
Stl+Blk
1.7 → 1.7
Steals
1.4 → 1.4
Blocks
0.3 → 0.3
Pascal Siakam
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 31-34
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
21.2 → 20.7
Assists
2.9 → 2.8
Rebounds
5.6 → 5.5
Threes
1.8 → 1.8
Pts+Reb+Ast
29.7 → 29.0
Stl+Blk
1.7 → 1.7
Steals
1.4 → 1.4
Blocks
0.3 → 0.3
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Andrew Nembhard
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 30-34
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
16.0 → 15.7
Assists
6.8 → 6.7
Rebounds
2.8 → 2.7
Threes
1.7 → 1.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
25.6 → 25.1
Stl+Blk
0.9 → 0.9
Steals
0.9 → 0.9
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Andrew Nembhard
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 30-34
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
16.0 → 15.7
Assists
6.8 → 6.7
Rebounds
2.8 → 2.7
Threes
1.7 → 1.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
25.6 → 25.1
Stl+Blk
0.9 → 0.9
Steals
0.9 → 0.9
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate higher because he handles the ball often.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Aaron Nesmith
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 24-30
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
10.7 → 10.2
Assists
1.3 → 1.2
Rebounds
6.0 → 5.7
Threes
3.0 → 2.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
18.0 → 17.2
Stl+Blk
2.3 → 2.2
Steals
1.0 → 1.0
Blocks
1.3 → 1.2
Aaron Nesmith
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 24-30
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
10.7 → 10.2
Assists
1.3 → 1.2
Rebounds
6.0 → 5.7
Threes
3.0 → 2.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
18.0 → 17.2
Stl+Blk
2.3 → 2.2
Steals
1.0 → 1.0
Blocks
1.3 → 1.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Ben Sheppard
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 20-26
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
12.0 → 11.3
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
1.0 → 0.9
Threes
2.0 → 1.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
13.0 → 12.2
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Ben Sheppard
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 20-26
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
12.0 → 11.3
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
1.0 → 0.9
Threes
2.0 → 1.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
13.0 → 12.2
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Ethan Thompson
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 18-24
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.6 → 5.5
Assists
2.1 → 2.1
Rebounds
2.2 → 2.2
Threes
1.1 → 1.1
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.9 → 9.7
Stl+Blk
0.6 → 0.6
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
Ethan Thompson
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 18-24
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.6 → 5.5
Assists
2.1 → 2.1
Rebounds
2.2 → 2.2
Threes
1.1 → 1.1
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.9 → 9.7
Stl+Blk
0.6 → 0.6
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Jay Huff
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 18-23
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
8.1 → 7.7
Assists
1.4 → 1.3
Rebounds
4.4 → 4.2
Threes
1.3 → 1.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
13.9 → 13.2
Stl+Blk
2.4 → 2.3
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
1.9 → 1.8
Jay Huff
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 18-23
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
8.1 → 7.7
Assists
1.4 → 1.3
Rebounds
4.4 → 4.2
Threes
1.3 → 1.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
13.9 → 13.2
Stl+Blk
2.4 → 2.3
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
1.9 → 1.8
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Jarace Walker
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 18-21
Minutes risk: Low
Points
7.0 → 7.0
Assists
1.1 → 1.1
Rebounds
3.6 → 3.6
Threes
1.3 → 1.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
11.7 → 11.8
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.7
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
Jarace Walker
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 18-21
Minutes risk: Low
Points
7.0 → 7.0
Assists
1.1 → 1.1
Rebounds
3.6 → 3.6
Threes
1.3 → 1.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
11.7 → 11.8
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.7
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Micah Potter
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 14-20
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
5.5 → 5.4
Assists
2.5 → 2.5
Rebounds
2.8 → 2.8
Threes
0.5 → 0.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
10.8 → 10.7
Stl+Blk
0.5 → 0.5
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.5 → 0.5
Micah Potter
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 14-20
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
5.5 → 5.4
Assists
2.5 → 2.5
Rebounds
2.8 → 2.8
Threes
0.5 → 0.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
10.8 → 10.7
Stl+Blk
0.5 → 0.5
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.5 → 0.5
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
T.J. McConnell
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 16-18
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLE
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -4.5 | Availability risk
Points
10.3 → 7.7
Assists
5.4 → 4.1
Rebounds
2.5 → 1.9
Threes
0.3 → 0.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
18.2 → 13.7
Stl+Blk
1.3 → 1.0
Steals
1.0 → 0.8
Blocks
0.3 → 0.2
T.J. McConnell
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 16-18
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLEPoints
10.3 → 7.7
Assists
5.4 → 4.1
Rebounds
2.5 → 1.9
Threes
0.3 → 0.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
18.2 → 13.7
Stl+Blk
1.3 → 1.0
Steals
1.0 → 0.8
Blocks
0.3 → 0.2
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate higher because he handles the ball often.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Isaiah Jackson
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 13-19
Minutes risk: High
OUT
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -13.2 | Availability risk
Points
5.2 → 0.0
Assists
0.8 → 0.0
Rebounds
7.2 → 0.0
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
13.2 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
1.0 → 0.0
Isaiah Jackson
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 13-19
Minutes risk: High
OUTPoints
5.2 → 0.0
Assists
0.8 → 0.0
Rebounds
7.2 → 0.0
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
13.2 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
1.0 → 0.0
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate supported by rebounding role.
- - Availability risk
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Johnny Furphy
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 13-19
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.9 → 6.1
Assists
0.4 → 0.4
Rebounds
3.1 → 3.2
Threes
0.6 → 0.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.4 → 9.7
Stl+Blk
0.4 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Johnny Furphy
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 13-19
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.9 → 6.1
Assists
0.4 → 0.4
Rebounds
3.1 → 3.2
Threes
0.6 → 0.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.4 → 9.7
Stl+Blk
0.4 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
James Wiseman
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 13-17
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
3.0 → 3.0
Assists
1.0 → 1.0
Rebounds
1.3 → 1.3
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
5.3 → 5.2
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
James Wiseman
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 13-17
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
3.0 → 3.0
Assists
1.0 → 1.0
Rebounds
1.3 → 1.3
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
5.3 → 5.2
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Quenton Jackson
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 11-17
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.1 → 4.5
Assists
1.0 → 0.9
Rebounds
1.6 → 1.4
Threes
0.4 → 0.4
Pts+Reb+Ast
7.7 → 6.8
Stl+Blk
0.4 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Quenton Jackson
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 11-17
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.1 → 4.5
Assists
1.0 → 0.9
Rebounds
1.6 → 1.4
Threes
0.4 → 0.4
Pts+Reb+Ast
7.7 → 6.8
Stl+Blk
0.4 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Garrison Mathews
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 10-16
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.8 → 5.0
Assists
0.8 → 0.7
Rebounds
1.5 → 1.3
Threes
1.3 → 1.1
Pts+Reb+Ast
8.1 → 6.9
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.6
Steals
0.5 → 0.4
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
Garrison Mathews
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 10-16
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.8 → 5.0
Assists
0.8 → 0.7
Rebounds
1.5 → 1.3
Threes
1.3 → 1.1
Pts+Reb+Ast
8.1 → 6.9
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.6
Steals
0.5 → 0.4
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Tony Bradley
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 6-11
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.6 → 1.7
Assists
0.3 → 0.3
Rebounds
2.7 → 2.8
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
4.6 → 4.8
Stl+Blk
0.1 → 0.1
Steals
0.1 → 0.1
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Tony Bradley
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 6-11
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.6 → 1.7
Assists
0.3 → 0.3
Rebounds
2.7 → 2.8
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
4.6 → 4.8
Stl+Blk
0.1 → 0.1
Steals
0.1 → 0.1
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate supported by rebounding role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Kam Jones
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 3-9
Minutes risk: High
Points
3.0 → 3.0
Assists
0.6 → 0.6
Rebounds
0.4 → 0.4
Threes
0.2 → 0.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
4.0 → 4.0
Stl+Blk
0.4 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Kam Jones
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 3-9
Minutes risk: High
Points
3.0 → 3.0
Assists
0.6 → 0.6
Rebounds
0.4 → 0.4
Threes
0.2 → 0.2
Pts+Reb+Ast
4.0 → 4.0
Stl+Blk
0.4 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.4
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Taelon Peter
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 2-4
Minutes risk: Low
Points
1.8 → 1.8
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
0.6 → 0.6
Threes
0.6 → 0.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
2.4 → 2.4
Stl+Blk
0.2 → 0.2
Steals
0.2 → 0.2
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Taelon Peter
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 2-4
Minutes risk: Low
Points
1.8 → 1.8
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
0.6 → 0.6
Threes
0.6 → 0.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
2.4 → 2.4
Stl+Blk
0.2 → 0.2
Steals
0.2 → 0.2
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Opportunity Shifts
When a key player is out or questionableAway
San Antonio Spurs
With Victor Wembanyama (OUT):
- Points: De'Aaron Fox +6.8 (minutes -0.5, shots 2.8)
- Points: Harrison Barnes +6.4 (minutes 6.7, shots 2.4)
- Rebounds: Stephon Castle +3.8 (minutes -4.6)
- Threes Made: Harrison Barnes +1.6 (minutes 6.7, shots 2.4)
No clear lift in: Assists.
Sample: 6 games
Home
Indiana Pacers
No clear shifts detected.
Injury Status
Source: ESPN | Updated 2026-01-02Away
San Antonio Spurs
-
OUT
Victor Wembanyama
Left Knee Soreness Leg
-
QUESTIONABLE
Harrison Ingram
Illness Other
-
OUT
Devin Vassell
Left Thigh Strain Leg
Home
Indiana Pacers
-
QUESTIONABLE
T.J. McConnell
Right Hamstring Leg
-
OUT
Isaiah Jackson
Not Specified Concussion Concussion Head
-
OUT
Obi Toppin
Right Foot Surgery Leg
-
OUT
Tyrese Haliburton
Right Achilles Surgery Leg