Game Context
Game speed: Normal
What Changed Today
Change tracking begins after two days of data.
Key Injuries
-
OUT
Draymond Green
Golden State Warriors
-
OUT
Isaiah Hartenstein
Oklahoma City Thunder
More injuries in the status list below.
Schedule and Fatigue
Normal rest for both teams.
All Players by Team
Sorted by expected minutes. Avg → Est shows the 10-game average and next-game estimate.Away
Oklahoma City Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Secondary Option
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 31-35
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
30.6 → 30.8
Assists
6.3 → 6.3
Rebounds
4.7 → 4.7
Threes
1.7 → 1.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
41.6 → 41.9
Stl+Blk
2.6 → 2.6
Steals
1.9 → 1.9
Blocks
0.7 → 0.7
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Secondary Option | Starter
Expected minutes: 31-35
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
30.6 → 30.8
Assists
6.3 → 6.3
Rebounds
4.7 → 4.7
Threes
1.7 → 1.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
41.6 → 41.9
Stl+Blk
2.6 → 2.6
Steals
1.9 → 1.9
Blocks
0.7 → 0.7
- - Secondary role supports scoring.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate supported by role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Jalen Williams
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 28-32
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
16.9 → 17.0
Assists
5.2 → 5.2
Rebounds
5.4 → 5.4
Threes
1.0 → 1.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
27.5 → 27.7
Stl+Blk
2.1 → 2.1
Steals
1.9 → 1.9
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
Jalen Williams
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 28-32
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
16.9 → 17.0
Assists
5.2 → 5.2
Rebounds
5.4 → 5.4
Threes
1.0 → 1.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
27.5 → 27.7
Stl+Blk
2.1 → 2.1
Steals
1.9 → 1.9
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Chet Holmgren
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 26-30
Minutes risk: Low
Points
17.7 → 18.1
Assists
1.2 → 1.2
Rebounds
7.8 → 8.0
Threes
1.6 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
26.7 → 27.3
Stl+Blk
2.5 → 2.6
Steals
0.3 → 0.3
Blocks
2.2 → 2.2
Chet Holmgren
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 26-30
Minutes risk: Low
Points
17.7 → 18.1
Assists
1.2 → 1.2
Rebounds
7.8 → 8.0
Threes
1.6 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
26.7 → 27.3
Stl+Blk
2.5 → 2.6
Steals
0.3 → 0.3
Blocks
2.2 → 2.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Rebounds estimate supported by rebounding role.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Cason Wallace
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 24-29
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
7.1 → 7.2
Assists
2.0 → 2.0
Rebounds
3.2 → 3.2
Threes
1.3 → 1.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
12.3 → 12.4
Stl+Blk
2.1 → 2.1
Steals
1.9 → 1.9
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
Cason Wallace
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 24-29
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
7.1 → 7.2
Assists
2.0 → 2.0
Rebounds
3.2 → 3.2
Threes
1.3 → 1.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
12.3 → 12.4
Stl+Blk
2.1 → 2.1
Steals
1.9 → 1.9
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Luguentz Dort
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 23-27
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
8.3 → 8.4
Assists
1.1 → 1.1
Rebounds
2.9 → 2.9
Threes
2.3 → 2.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
12.3 → 12.5
Stl+Blk
1.4 → 1.4
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
0.9 → 0.9
Luguentz Dort
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 23-27
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
8.3 → 8.4
Assists
1.1 → 1.1
Rebounds
2.9 → 2.9
Threes
2.3 → 2.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
12.3 → 12.5
Stl+Blk
1.4 → 1.4
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
0.9 → 0.9
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Isaiah Hartenstein
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 22-26
Minutes risk: High
OUT
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -18.0 | Availability risk
Points
7.4 → 0.0
Assists
1.4 → 0.0
Rebounds
9.2 → 0.0
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
18.0 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.2 → 0.0
Steals
0.6 → 0.0
Blocks
0.6 → 0.0
Isaiah Hartenstein
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 22-26
Minutes risk: High
OUTPoints
7.4 → 0.0
Assists
1.4 → 0.0
Rebounds
9.2 → 0.0
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
18.0 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.2 → 0.0
Steals
0.6 → 0.0
Blocks
0.6 → 0.0
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate supported by rebounding role.
- - Availability risk
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Ajay Mitchell
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 21-25
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
13.0 → 12.8
Assists
3.4 → 3.4
Rebounds
4.3 → 4.2
Threes
0.9 → 0.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
20.7 → 20.4
Stl+Blk
2.1 → 2.1
Steals
1.5 → 1.5
Blocks
0.6 → 0.6
Ajay Mitchell
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 21-25
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
13.0 → 12.8
Assists
3.4 → 3.4
Rebounds
4.3 → 4.2
Threes
0.9 → 0.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
20.7 → 20.4
Stl+Blk
2.1 → 2.1
Steals
1.5 → 1.5
Blocks
0.6 → 0.6
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Jaylin Williams
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 16-22
Minutes risk: High
OUT
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -11.5 | Availability risk
Points
4.0 → 0.0
Assists
3.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
4.5 → 0.0
Threes
0.5 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
11.5 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.0 → 0.0
Steals
1.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Jaylin Williams
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 16-22
Minutes risk: High
OUTPoints
4.0 → 0.0
Assists
3.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
4.5 → 0.0
Threes
0.5 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
11.5 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.0 → 0.0
Steals
1.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Alex Caruso
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 15-21
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
7.2 → 7.1
Assists
1.2 → 1.2
Rebounds
4.2 → 4.1
Threes
1.0 → 1.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
12.6 → 12.4
Stl+Blk
1.8 → 1.8
Steals
1.4 → 1.4
Blocks
0.4 → 0.4
Alex Caruso
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 15-21
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
7.2 → 7.1
Assists
1.2 → 1.2
Rebounds
4.2 → 4.1
Threes
1.0 → 1.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
12.6 → 12.4
Stl+Blk
1.8 → 1.8
Steals
1.4 → 1.4
Blocks
0.4 → 0.4
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Aaron Wiggins
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 14-20
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
4.8 → 4.7
Assists
1.0 → 1.0
Rebounds
1.9 → 1.8
Threes
0.8 → 0.8
Pts+Reb+Ast
7.7 → 7.5
Stl+Blk
1.1 → 1.1
Steals
0.8 → 0.8
Blocks
0.3 → 0.3
Aaron Wiggins
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 14-20
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
4.8 → 4.7
Assists
1.0 → 1.0
Rebounds
1.9 → 1.8
Threes
0.8 → 0.8
Pts+Reb+Ast
7.7 → 7.5
Stl+Blk
1.1 → 1.1
Steals
0.8 → 0.8
Blocks
0.3 → 0.3
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Ousmane Dieng
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 12-18
Minutes risk: High
OUT
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -14.0 | Availability risk
Points
11.0 → 0.0
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
3.0 → 0.0
Threes
3.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
14.0 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Ousmane Dieng
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 12-18
Minutes risk: High
OUTPoints
11.0 → 0.0
Assists
0.0 → 0.0
Rebounds
3.0 → 0.0
Threes
3.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
14.0 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Isaiah Joe
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 12-17
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
6.6 → 6.3
Assists
1.3 → 1.2
Rebounds
2.3 → 2.2
Threes
1.9 → 1.8
Pts+Reb+Ast
10.2 → 9.7
Stl+Blk
0.6 → 0.6
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
Isaiah Joe
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 12-17
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
6.6 → 6.3
Assists
1.3 → 1.2
Rebounds
2.3 → 2.2
Threes
1.9 → 1.8
Pts+Reb+Ast
10.2 → 9.7
Stl+Blk
0.6 → 0.6
Steals
0.5 → 0.5
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Kenrich Williams
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 10-16
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.0 → 4.5
Assists
1.5 → 1.4
Rebounds
2.6 → 2.3
Threes
0.6 → 0.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.1 → 8.2
Stl+Blk
1.1 → 1.0
Steals
1.0 → 0.9
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
Kenrich Williams
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 10-16
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.0 → 4.5
Assists
1.5 → 1.4
Rebounds
2.6 → 2.3
Threes
0.6 → 0.5
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.1 → 8.2
Stl+Blk
1.1 → 1.0
Steals
1.0 → 0.9
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Branden Carlson
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 9-15
Minutes risk: High
Points
6.3 → 5.3
Assists
0.5 → 0.4
Rebounds
2.3 → 1.9
Threes
0.8 → 0.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.1 → 7.7
Stl+Blk
0.5 → 0.4
Steals
0.1 → 0.1
Blocks
0.4 → 0.3
Branden Carlson
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 9-15
Minutes risk: High
Points
6.3 → 5.3
Assists
0.5 → 0.4
Rebounds
2.3 → 1.9
Threes
0.8 → 0.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.1 → 7.7
Stl+Blk
0.5 → 0.4
Steals
0.1 → 0.1
Blocks
0.4 → 0.3
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Brooks Barnhizer
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 5-11
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLE
Points
0.0 → 0.0
Assists
0.7 → 0.5
Rebounds
1.0 → 0.8
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
1.7 → 1.3
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Brooks Barnhizer
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 5-11
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLEPoints
0.0 → 0.0
Assists
0.7 → 0.5
Rebounds
1.0 → 0.8
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
1.7 → 1.3
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Chris Youngblood
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 3-6
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.0 → 0.8
Assists
0.2 → 0.2
Rebounds
0.3 → 0.3
Threes
0.3 → 0.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
1.5 → 1.3
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Chris Youngblood
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 3-6
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
1.0 → 0.8
Assists
0.2 → 0.2
Rebounds
0.3 → 0.3
Threes
0.3 → 0.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
1.5 → 1.3
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Home
Golden State Warriors
Stephen Curry
Secondary Option
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 32-35
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLE
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -9.6 | Availability risk
Points
30.1 → 22.7
Assists
4.8 → 3.6
Rebounds
4.4 → 3.3
Threes
4.9 → 3.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
39.3 → 29.7
Stl+Blk
1.3 → 1.0
Steals
1.0 → 0.8
Blocks
0.3 → 0.2
Stephen Curry
Secondary Option | Starter
Expected minutes: 32-35
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLEPoints
30.1 → 22.7
Assists
4.8 → 3.6
Rebounds
4.4 → 3.3
Threes
4.9 → 3.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
39.3 → 29.7
Stl+Blk
1.3 → 1.0
Steals
1.0 → 0.8
Blocks
0.3 → 0.2
- - Availability risk
- - Secondary role supports scoring.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate supported by role.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Jimmy Butler III
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 31-35
Minutes risk: Low
Points
20.0 → 20.0
Assists
4.9 → 4.9
Rebounds
5.5 → 5.5
Threes
0.7 → 0.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
30.4 → 30.3
Stl+Blk
1.2 → 1.2
Steals
1.0 → 1.0
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
Jimmy Butler III
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 31-35
Minutes risk: Low
Points
20.0 → 20.0
Assists
4.9 → 4.9
Rebounds
5.5 → 5.5
Threes
0.7 → 0.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
30.4 → 30.3
Stl+Blk
1.2 → 1.2
Steals
1.0 → 1.0
Blocks
0.2 → 0.2
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Brandin Podziemski
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 24-29
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
13.2 → 13.0
Assists
4.1 → 4.0
Rebounds
4.2 → 4.1
Threes
2.3 → 2.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
21.5 → 21.2
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.7
Steals
0.6 → 0.6
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
Brandin Podziemski
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 24-29
Minutes risk: Medium
Points
13.2 → 13.0
Assists
4.1 → 4.0
Rebounds
4.2 → 4.1
Threes
2.3 → 2.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
21.5 → 21.2
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.7
Steals
0.6 → 0.6
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have shifted recently.
Draymond Green
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 22-28
Minutes risk: High
OUT
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -20.5 | Availability risk
Points
9.9 → 0.0
Assists
4.8 → 0.0
Rebounds
5.8 → 0.0
Threes
1.3 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
20.5 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.9 → 0.0
Steals
1.3 → 0.0
Blocks
0.6 → 0.0
Draymond Green
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 22-28
Minutes risk: High
OUTPoints
9.9 → 0.0
Assists
4.8 → 0.0
Rebounds
5.8 → 0.0
Threes
1.3 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
20.5 → 0.0
Stl+Blk
1.9 → 0.0
Steals
1.3 → 0.0
Blocks
0.6 → 0.0
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Moses Moody
Rotational Scorer
|
Starter
Expected minutes: 21-27
Minutes risk: High
Points
8.8 → 9.0
Assists
1.9 → 1.9
Rebounds
3.9 → 4.0
Threes
1.6 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
14.6 → 15.0
Stl+Blk
1.6 → 1.6
Steals
0.9 → 0.9
Blocks
0.7 → 0.7
Moses Moody
Rotational Scorer | Starter
Expected minutes: 21-27
Minutes risk: High
Points
8.8 → 9.0
Assists
1.9 → 1.9
Rebounds
3.9 → 4.0
Threes
1.6 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
14.6 → 15.0
Stl+Blk
1.6 → 1.6
Steals
0.9 → 0.9
Blocks
0.7 → 0.7
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Will Richard
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 18-24
Minutes risk: High
Points
8.4 → 8.3
Assists
1.3 → 1.3
Rebounds
3.1 → 3.1
Threes
1.6 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
12.8 → 12.7
Stl+Blk
1.4 → 1.4
Steals
1.3 → 1.3
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
Will Richard
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 18-24
Minutes risk: High
Points
8.4 → 8.3
Assists
1.3 → 1.3
Rebounds
3.1 → 3.1
Threes
1.6 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
12.8 → 12.7
Stl+Blk
1.4 → 1.4
Steals
1.3 → 1.3
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
De'Anthony Melton
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 18-22
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLE
Points
7.0 → 6.7
Assists
1.9 → 1.5
Rebounds
2.2 → 1.7
Threes
0.7 → 0.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
11.1 → 10.0
Stl+Blk
2.3 → 1.8
Steals
1.7 → 1.3
Blocks
0.6 → 0.5
De'Anthony Melton
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 18-22
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLEPoints
7.0 → 6.7
Assists
1.9 → 1.5
Rebounds
2.2 → 1.7
Threes
0.7 → 0.7
Pts+Reb+Ast
11.1 → 10.0
Stl+Blk
2.3 → 1.8
Steals
1.7 → 1.3
Blocks
0.6 → 0.5
- - Availability risk
- - Points increase without Stephen Curry
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Threes Made increase without Stephen Curry
- - Availability risk
- - Points + Rebounds + Assists increase without Stephen Curry
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Jonathan Kuminga
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 16-22
Minutes risk: High
Points
2.0 → 1.9
Assists
1.0 → 0.9
Rebounds
4.0 → 3.8
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
7.0 → 6.6
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Jonathan Kuminga
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 16-22
Minutes risk: High
Points
2.0 → 1.9
Assists
1.0 → 0.9
Rebounds
4.0 → 3.8
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
7.0 → 6.6
Stl+Blk
0.0 → 0.0
Steals
0.0 → 0.0
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Quinten Post
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 16-22
Minutes risk: High
Points
9.6 → 8.6
Assists
1.7 → 1.5
Rebounds
4.4 → 4.0
Threes
2.1 → 1.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
15.7 → 14.1
Stl+Blk
0.9 → 0.8
Steals
0.5 → 0.4
Blocks
0.4 → 0.4
Quinten Post
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 16-22
Minutes risk: High
Points
9.6 → 8.6
Assists
1.7 → 1.5
Rebounds
4.4 → 4.0
Threes
2.1 → 1.9
Pts+Reb+Ast
15.7 → 14.1
Stl+Blk
0.9 → 0.8
Steals
0.5 → 0.4
Blocks
0.4 → 0.4
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Al Horford
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 15-20
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLE
Major change flagged: Points + Rebounds + Assists -4.4 | Availability risk
Points
9.7 → 6.8
Assists
0.7 → 0.5
Rebounds
4.3 → 3.0
Threes
2.3 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
14.7 → 10.3
Stl+Blk
1.4 → 1.0
Steals
0.7 → 0.5
Blocks
0.7 → 0.5
Al Horford
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 15-20
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLEPoints
9.7 → 6.8
Assists
0.7 → 0.5
Rebounds
4.3 → 3.0
Threes
2.3 → 1.6
Pts+Reb+Ast
14.7 → 10.3
Stl+Blk
1.4 → 1.0
Steals
0.7 → 0.5
Blocks
0.7 → 0.5
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Buddy Hield
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 12-18
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.7 → 6.0
Assists
0.7 → 0.7
Rebounds
2.7 → 2.9
Threes
1.1 → 1.1
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.1 → 9.7
Stl+Blk
0.5 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.3
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
Buddy Hield
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 12-18
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.7 → 6.0
Assists
0.7 → 0.7
Rebounds
2.7 → 2.9
Threes
1.1 → 1.1
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.1 → 9.7
Stl+Blk
0.5 → 0.4
Steals
0.4 → 0.3
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
- - Points increase without Stephen Curry
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists increase without Stephen Curry
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Rebounds increase without Stephen Curry
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Threes Made increase without Stephen Curry
- - Three-point volume supports threes made.
- - Points + Rebounds + Assists increase without Stephen Curry
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 11-17
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLE
Points
5.2 → 3.8
Assists
1.1 → 0.8
Rebounds
4.4 → 3.3
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
10.7 → 7.9
Stl+Blk
1.3 → 1.0
Steals
0.3 → 0.2
Blocks
1.0 → 0.7
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 11-17
Minutes risk: High
QUESTIONABLEPoints
5.2 → 3.8
Assists
1.1 → 0.8
Rebounds
4.4 → 3.3
Threes
0.0 → 0.0
Pts+Reb+Ast
10.7 → 7.9
Stl+Blk
1.3 → 1.0
Steals
0.3 → 0.2
Blocks
1.0 → 0.7
- - Availability risk
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Availability risk
- - Rebounds estimate supported by rebounding role.
- - Availability risk
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Availability risk
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Availability risk
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Availability risk
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
Pat Spencer
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 11-17
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.1 → 5.2
Assists
2.7 → 2.6
Rebounds
2.0 → 2.0
Threes
0.4 → 0.4
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.8 → 9.9
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.6
Steals
0.7 → 0.6
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
Pat Spencer
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 11-17
Minutes risk: High
Points
5.1 → 5.2
Assists
2.7 → 2.6
Rebounds
2.0 → 2.0
Threes
0.4 → 0.4
Pts+Reb+Ast
9.8 → 9.9
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.6
Steals
0.7 → 0.6
Blocks
0.0 → 0.0
- - Points increase without Stephen Curry
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists increase without Stephen Curry
- - Assists estimate higher because he handles the ball often.
- - Rebounds increase without Stephen Curry
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Threes Made increase without Stephen Curry
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Points + Rebounds + Assists increase without Stephen Curry
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Gui Santos
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 11-17
Minutes risk: High
Points
4.1 → 4.1
Assists
1.3 → 1.3
Rebounds
3.5 → 3.5
Threes
0.8 → 0.8
Pts+Reb+Ast
8.9 → 8.8
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.7
Steals
0.6 → 0.6
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
Gui Santos
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 11-17
Minutes risk: High
Points
4.1 → 4.1
Assists
1.3 → 1.3
Rebounds
3.5 → 3.5
Threes
0.8 → 0.8
Pts+Reb+Ast
8.9 → 8.8
Stl+Blk
0.7 → 0.7
Steals
0.6 → 0.6
Blocks
0.1 → 0.1
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Moderate three-point role supports threes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Gary Payton II
Bench Spike Candidate
|
Bench
Expected minutes: 8-14
Minutes risk: High
Points
4.6 → 5.8
Assists
1.8 → 1.9
Rebounds
2.3 → 2.9
Threes
0.3 → 0.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
8.7 → 10.6
Stl+Blk
0.9 → 0.9
Steals
0.3 → 0.3
Blocks
0.6 → 0.6
Gary Payton II
Bench Spike Candidate | Bench
Expected minutes: 8-14
Minutes risk: High
Points
4.6 → 5.8
Assists
1.8 → 1.9
Rebounds
2.3 → 2.9
Threes
0.3 → 0.3
Pts+Reb+Ast
8.7 → 10.6
Stl+Blk
0.9 → 0.9
Steals
0.3 → 0.3
Blocks
0.6 → 0.6
- - Points increase without Stephen Curry
- - Points estimate driven by minutes and role.
- - Assists increase without Stephen Curry
- - Assists estimate driven by minutes.
- - Rebounds increase without Stephen Curry
- - Rebounds estimate driven by minutes.
- - Threes Made increase without Stephen Curry
- - Limited three-point volume lowers threes.
- - Points + Rebounds + Assists increase without Stephen Curry
- - Combined output driven by minutes and role.
- - Steals and blocks swing from game to game.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Steals estimate tied to defense and pace.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
- - Blocks estimate tied to defense near the rim and minutes.
- - Minutes have swung recently.
Opportunity Shifts
When a key player is out or questionableAway
Oklahoma City Thunder
No clear shifts detected.
Home
Golden State Warriors
With Stephen Curry (QUESTIONABLE):
- Points: De'Anthony Melton +5.8 (minutes -0.5, shots 2.6)
- Points: Pat Spencer +4.8 (minutes 5.8, shots -0.6)
- Assists: Pat Spencer +1.2 (minutes 5.8)
- Rebounds: Buddy Hield +1.9 (minutes 6.3)
No clear lift in: Threes Made.
Sample: 5 games
Injury Status
Source: ESPN | Updated 2026-01-02Away
Oklahoma City Thunder
-
OUT
Jaylin Williams
Right Heel Inflammation Leg
-
OUT
Isaiah Hartenstein
Right Calf Strain Leg
-
OUT
Ousmane Dieng
Right Calf Strain Leg
-
QUESTIONABLE
Brooks Barnhizer
Not Specified Ankle Not Specified Leg
-
OUT
Nikola Topic
Not Specified Groin Surgery
-
OUT
Thomas Sorber
Right Knee Surgery Leg
Home
Golden State Warriors
-
QUESTIONABLE
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Right Knee Tendinitis Leg
-
QUESTIONABLE
De'Anthony Melton
Left Knee Leg
-
QUESTIONABLE
Al Horford
Back Torso
-
OUT
Draymond Green
Rest Other
-
QUESTIONABLE
Stephen Curry
Left Ankle Sprain Leg
-
OUT
L.J. Cryer
Left Back Strain Torso
-
OUT
Seth Curry
Left Back Soreness Torso